July 08,2022 | TRIADVOCATES
Arizona 2022 Primary Election
The August 2nd Arizona primary election is just a few weeks away. This election comes with brand new congressional and legislative districts redrawn using the 2020 Census data. The primary election showcases new political maps, crowded races, tough rivalries among incumbents, come back attempts and first-time candidates. GOP candidates will test the power of the Trump contingent against the more traditional conservatives. Democrats will pit progressive candidates against moderate business-friendly Democrats.
Politicos predict the new district lines will favor Republican candidates and expect the current narrow Legislative majority margins to expand in favor of the GOP. The new lines create 17 districts that favor the GOP, 10 that lean to the Democrats, and 3 that are truly competitive. The issues candidates are stressing include the economy/inflation, education funding, border security, election integrity, and now reproductive rights.
Below you can find additional information for the full list of:
Please check with your County Recorder for more information - they are your go-to sources for correct and up-to-date information related to elections. Independent voters or voters not affiliated with a political party can participate in the August 2nd primary election by selecting which political party ballot they want to complete.
Legislative Primary Races Turn-Over:
The Legislature consists of a total of 90 seats - 30 in the Senate and 60 in the House. This cycle, every candidate is running in a new district. In some races incumbents from different districts are now competing for the same seat in the primary. With 25 legislators deciding not to seek reelection, we know with certainty that turn-over at the Capitol will be at a record high. The 2023 legislative session will welcome many new faces, resulting in a deficit of institutional knowledge.
Some Candidates Have Already Won
Some legislative candidates face very limited competition or no race at all. Nearly one-third of the 30 Senate seats have no primary or general election opponents, except for a couple of write-in candidates.
Senate incumbents with a clear path to victory:
A few legislative races are getting a disproportionate amount of attention due to their competitive nature and how their outcome will shape the political tenor at the Capitol for the next two years.
Legislative District 5
Crowded Democratic Primary
This is a safe Democratic district featuring crowded primaries for both the House and Senate. Three incumbents (Rep. Sarah Liguori, Rep. Jennifer Longdon, and Rep. Amish Shah) and two newcomers are running for just two seats in the House. In the Senate, legislative veteran Sen. Lela Alston faces two newcomers.
Legislative District 7
Sen. Kelly Townsend v. Sen. Wendy Rogers
These two Senate incumbents sparred most of the session and are now squaring off against each other to return to the Senate.
Legislative District 9
Sen. Tyler Pace v. Robert Scantlebury
Incumbent and small business owner Sen. Pace will face Scantlebury, a retired Mesa police sergeant who describes himself as a populist and “staunchly pro-life” candidate. On occasion, Sen. Pace has crossed party lines to advance key policies or stop controversial legislation. The winner will face Eva Burch, a registered nurse seeking to flip the district. LD9 is one of the few districts that is considered competitive with very close voter registration numbers between Republicans and Democrats, so independents voters will have a big say in who wins this race.
Legislative District 10
Speaker Rusty Bowers v. David Farnsworth
Due to term limits, Speaker Bowers is running for the State Senate. Bowers is a strong conservative who refused calls to undo the 2020 election. His opponent is former Senator David Farnsworth, who is coming out of retirement. The winner will not face a challenger in November.
Legislative District 22
Crowded Democratic Primary
This is a safe Democratic area that, due to the new district lines, will pit several incumbents against each other. Rep. Diego Espinoza and Rep. Richard Andrade are seeking the Senate seat, while the House race has two incumbents (Rep. Lorenzo Sierra and Sen. Lupe Contreras) facing two newcomers for the two House seats.
Legislative District 29
Crowded GOP Primary
Rep. Joanne Osborne is pursuing a Senate seat, running against two GOP challengers (Janae Shamp, and Ryan Eldridge). The House race features four candidates, including 3 newcomers, running against former Rep. Steve Montenegro for two open House seats.
A key feature of Arizona elections includes efforts to amend the state constitution, citizen run initiatives to create new laws, referrals sent by the Legislature to voters, and referendums run by citizen groups seeking to stop laws passed by the Legislature. Each requires significant work to appear on the final general election ballot. Often, these issue-based campaigns are used by proponents to energize a targeted voter demographic to help other elections. These types of issue-driven elections can have a trickledown effect on the federal, state, and local elections, as it may bring out voters that otherwise would not have engaged in the election but for this issue.
July 7 was the deadline for groups to officially file initiative measures and constitutional amendments and submit signatures. Below are the hefty signature requirements groups had to collect to qualify to move on to the next step:
Lastly, the attempt for a constitutional amendment for the Right to Reproductive Freedom failed to collect the needed 356,467 signatures to qualify for the ballot. This effort was launched by the Arizonans for Reproductive Freedom group in mid-May, just after the Roe v. Wade draft Supreme Court opinion leaked.