As the sun rose on Election Day +1, Maricopa County had around 470,000 votes to count. About 200,000 other votes were to be counted among the other counties. By the end of the day yesterday, most counties had finished their counts and Maricopa released the results of an additional 62,000 ballots.

The ballots left to be counted in Maricopa fall into a couple of categories. There are about 70,000 ballots from those who voted at early election centers on Friday and Saturday prior to Election Day. The bulk of the votes left to count are from voters who requested a mail-in ballot but took that ballot to a polling place on Election Day—there are over 250,000 of these ballots. There are a small number of provisional ballots that round out the ballots to be counted.

We will have another update on vote counting from Maricopa County tonight that we will factor into our results and report out tomorrow.

Our hiker is still making progress, but isn’t to the summit yet.    

Results as of 4:00 p.m. today

*Denotes incumbent

Federal Races

U.S. Senate:

    *Kelly (D)                    51.5%

    Masters (R)                46.3%

U.S. Congress:

CD 1

    *Schweikert (R)          49.2%

    Hodge (D)                  50.8%

CD 2

    Crane (R)                    53.7%

     *O’Halleran (D)           46.3%

CD 3

    Zink (R)                       23.6%

    *Gallego (D)               76.4%

CD 4

    Cooper (R)                 43.1%

*    Stanton (D)               56.9%

CD 5

    *Biggs (R)                   55.6%

    Ramos (D)                  38.6%

CD 6

    Ciscomani (R)            51.2%

    Engel (D)                    48.8%

CD 7

    Pozzolo (R)                36.8%

    *Grijalva (D)                63.2%

CD 8

     *Lesko (R)                  100%

CD 9

    *Gosar (R)                   100%

Statewide Races

Governor

     Lake (R)                    49.6%

    Hobbs (D)                  50.4%

Secretary of State

    Finchem (R)               47.5%

    Fontes (D)                  52.5%

Attorney General                  

    Hamadeh (R)             49.8%

    Mayes (D)                  50.2%

Treasurer

    Yee (R)                       55.6%

    Quezada (D)              44.4%

Superintendent of Public Instruction

    Tom Horne (R)           50.1%

    *Kathy Hoffman (D)   49.9%

State Mine Inspector

    Paul Marsh                100%

Arizona Corporation Commission:

As a refresher, the Arizona Corporation Commission (ACC) sets rates and policies for electric, gas and water utilities. The five statewide elected officials on the commission also oversee railroad crossings, pipeline safety and securities. Two of those five seats are on the ballot this year.

    Myers (R)                   25.89%

    Thompson (R)           25.91%

    Kennedy (D)              24.93%

    Kuby (D)                     23.26%

State Legislative Races

Arizona Senate:

The current split in the Senate is 16 Republicans and 14 Democrats. These are the races deemed “ones to watch” as they are considered competitive districts:

LD 2

Senate:

    Kaiser (R)        50.4%

    Casteen (D)    49.6%

LD 4

Senate:

    Barto (R)        48.1%

    Marsh (D)        51.9%

LD 9

Senate:

    Scantlebury (R)    46.8%

    Burch (D)                53.2%

LD 13

Senate:

    Mesnard (R)        51%

    Hans (D)                49%

LD 16

Senate:

    *Shope (R)        56.2%

    Kerby (D)            43.8%

Arizona House of Representatives:

The current split in the House is 31 Republicans and 29 Democrats. These are the races deemed “ones to watch” as they are considered competitive districts.

(*Note: Voters select two candidates to represent the district in the House.)

LD 2

House:

    *Schwiebert (D)    36.38%

    *Wilmeth (R)         32.68%

    Lamar (R)                30.94%

LD 4

House:

    Terech (D)             34.78%

    Gress (R)                34.02%

    Syms (R)                31.20%

LD 9

House:

    Blattman (D)        25.57%

    Austin (D)            26.96%

    Mendoza (R)        23.36%

    Pearce (R)            24.11%

LD 13

House:

    *Pawlik (D)            35.51%

    Harris (R)                32.37%

    Willoughby (R)     32.12%

LD 16

House:

    Seaman (D)             31.85%

    *Martinez (R)            36.49%

    Hudelson (R)            31.66%

Ballot Propositions

In addition to races for Governor and U.S. Senate all the way down to local school board members, Arizona voters will decide 10 propositions.

 Proposition 128: Legislature initiative and referendum

If passed, would amend the constitution to allow the state legislature to amend, divert funds from, or supersede an initiative or referendum measure enacted by the people of Arizona if the measure is found to contain illegal or unconstitutional language by the Arizona or United States Supreme Court. (If rejected, would retain existing law on the state legislature’s ability to amend, divert funds from, or supersede an initiative or referendum measure.)

    YES    36.28%

    NO     63.72%

Proposition 129: Legislature initiative measures

If passed, would amend the constitution to limit each initiative measure to a single subject and require that subject to be expressed in the title of the initiative measure. (If rejected, would retain existing law on initiative measures.)

    YES    54.91%

    NO     45.09%

Proposition 130: Property tax exemptions

If passed, would amend the constitution to consolidate property tax exemptions into a single section; removing the constitutional determinations as to the amounts of certain property tax exemptions, leaving the legislature to prescribe by law the qualifications for and amounts of property tax exemptions it creates; allowing property tax exemptions for resident veterans with disabilities, widows, and widowers regardless of when they became Arizona residents; and establishing that a person is not eligible for property tax exemption under more than one category as a widow, widower, person with a disability, or veteran with a disability. (If rejected, would retain existing law on property tax exemptions.)

    YES    63.46%

    NO     36.54% 

Proposition 131: New executive officer position

If passed, would amend the constitution to create the office of Lieutenant Governor beginning with the 2026 election; requiring that a nominee for Governor name a nominee for Lieutenant Governor to be jointly elected; replacing the Secretary of State with the Lieutenant Governor as first in the line of succession to the office of Governor; and provide that the Secretary of State, State Treasurer, Attorney General, and Superintendent of Public Instruction may succeed to the office of Governor regardless of whether they were elected. (If rejected, would retain the current executive branch and existing law on executive succession.)

    YES    55.19%

    NO     44.81%

Proposition 132: Legislature initiative and referendum measures

If passed, would amend the constitution to require at least sixty percent of votes cast to approve an initiative or referendum that enacts a tax. (If rejected, would retain existing law on initiative and referendum measures.)

    YES    50.82%

    NO     49.18%

Proposition 209: Predatory debt collection protection

If passed, would reduce maximum interest rates on medical debt from ten percent to no more than three percent per year; increasing exemptions from all debt collection for certain personal assets, including a debtor’s home, household items, motor vehicle, and bank account from debt collection; adjusting exemptions from all debt collection for inflation beginning in 2024; decreasing the amount of disposable earnings subject to garnishment to no more than ten percent of disposable earnings but allowing a court to decrease the disposable earnings subject to garnishment to five percent based on extreme economic hardship. (If rejected, would retain existing laws related to debt collection.)

    YES    72.05%

    NO     27.95%

Proposition 211: Money used for political campaign media spending

If passed, would require additional disclosures and reporting by entities and persons whose campaign media spending and/or in-kind contributions for campaign media spending exceeds $50,000 in statewide campaigns or $25,000 in other campaigns, including identifying original donors of contributions of more than $5,000 in aggregate; creating penalties for violations of the law; and allowing the Citizens Clean Elections Commission to adopt rules and enforce the provisions of the law. (If rejected, would retain existing law on campaign finance reporting requirements.)

    YES    72.56%

     NO     27.44%

Proposition 308: Classification of students for tuition purposes

If passed, would allow any Arizona student, regardless of immigration status, to be eligible for in-state tuition at state universities and community colleges if they graduated from, and spent at least two years attending, an Arizona public or private high school, or homeschool equivalent; allowing any Arizona student, regardless of immigration status, to be eligible for state financial aid at state universities and community colleges. (If rejected, would retain the current law on university and community college tuition.)

    YES    50.91%

    NO     49.09%

Proposition 309: Voter identification

If passed, would require the affidavit accompanying an early ballot and return envelope to be capable of being concealed when returned; requiring a voter to write their birth date, a state-issued identification number or the last four digits of the voter’s social security number, and signature on an early ballot affidavit; requiring certain photo identification issued by the State of Arizona, or a tribal government or the United States government, to receive a ballot at an in-person voting location; removing the ability to receive a ballot at an in-person voting location without photo identification when showing two other identifying documents; and requiring the Arizona Department of Transportation to provide, without charge, a nonoperating identification license to individuals who request one for the purpose of voting. (If rejected, would retain existing law on early ballot affidavits and voter identification.)

     YES    49.23%

    NO     50.77%

Proposition 310: Taxation benefitting fire districts

If passed, would establish a Fire District Safety Fund; increasing the Transaction Privilege (Sales) and Use Tax by one-tenth of one percent from January 1, 2023 through December 31, 2042 to pay for the Fund; and distributing monies from the Fund to fire districts on a monthly basis. (If rejected, would retain existing law on tax rates and funding for fire districts.)

    YES    48.25%

    NO     51.75